U.S. military report warns "sudden collapse" of Mexico is possible

by Infidelesto on January 14, 2009 · 4 comments

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The “Joint Operating Environment (JOE 2008)” put out by the US military which projects potential global threats and possible wars has put Mexico at the same threat level as Pakistan.

EL PASO – Mexico is one of two countries that “bear consideration for a rapid and sudden collapse,” according to a report by the U.S. Joint Forces Command on worldwide security threats.

The command’s “Joint Operating Environment (JOE 2008)” report, which contains projections of global threats and potential next wars, puts Pakistan on the same level as Mexico. “In terms of worse-case scenarios for the Joint Force and indeed the world, two large and important states bear consideration for a rapid and sudden collapse: Pakistan and Mexico.

“The Mexican possibility may seem less likely, but the government, its politicians, police and judicial infrastructure are all under sustained assault and press by criminal gangs and drug cartels. How that internal conflict turns out over the next several years will have a major impact on the stability of the Mexican state. Any descent by Mexico into chaos would demand an American response based on the serious implications for homeland security alone.”

The U.S. Joint Forces Command, based in Norfolk, Va., is one of the Defense Departments combat commands that includes members of the different military service branches, active and reserves, as well as civilian and contract employees. One of its key roles is to help transform the U.S. military’s capabilities.

In the foreword, Marine Gen. J.N. Mattis, the USJFC commander, said “Predictions about the future are always risky … Regardless, if we do not try to forecast the future, there is no doubt that we will be caught off guard as we strive to protect this experiment in democracy that we call America.”

The report is one in a serious focusing on Mexico’s internal security problems, mostly stemming from drug violence and drug corruption. In recent weeks, the Department of Homeland Security and former U.S. drug czar Barry McCaffrey issued similar alerts about Mexico.

Despite such reports, El Pasoan Veronica Callaghan, a border business leader, said she keeps running into people in the region who “are in denial about what is happening in Mexico.”

Last week, Mexican President Felipe Calderon instructed his embassy and consular officials to promote a positive image of Mexico.

The U.S. military report, which also analyzed economic situations in other countries, also noted that China has increased its influence in places where oil fields are present.

via El Paso Times.

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  • Ernest

    Mexico is a perfect example of what happens to a country when it's elite upper class gains total control over the country's operation and is either soft on crime or part of the crime. Mexico has all the pieces for making a great country, it just has never had either the inclination or guts to put them all together.

  • http://www.mosquewatch.blogspot.com Jeff Valdez Ortega

    Of course it will collapse, half the Mexican population is here in the States………
    And not legally…….

    Infidelesto, if that statement does not generate some liberal outrage, I'm trying my best ;)

    ( Twists mustache ) Bwahahahahahaaaa!!!

  • golfdad

    I am sad Mexico (as well as Columbia, Haiti, and some other southern hemisphere states) are so painfully impacted by what is really a North American and European problem — drug use. Many Americans demand to buy drugs at any price, we outlaw the substances, thereby creating a class of criminal entrepreneurs — dealers and trafficers –, and Mexico pays the price for our problem. Ouch.

  • eddibebbi

    Now HERE is a situation — a collapse of MEXICO — where the USA
    should be ready to TAKE OVER.
    Go in, clean up that corrupt country,
    stop its causing us problems,
    and create a country which is viable, free, and non-corrupt.

    Of course, we'd better do some cleaning up here first.